Navigating Turbulence: Rishi Sunak Confronts the Challenge as Tories Struggle with Unity

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2023-12-08 23:00:19

Leading the Tories: A Task as Challenging as Managing England's Football Team

Rishi Sunak's role as the leader of the Conservative Party is likened to being the England manager in times of distress. The 30-year-old documentary featuring Graham Taylor's impactful exclamation, "Do I not like that," during a debacle, is remembered by many. Now, the phrase resonates as the title, "An Impossible Job," has become an apt metaphor for Sunak's predicament.

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Unlike Gareth Southgate, who endeavors to refute the difficult nature of his role, Sunak faces an array of challenges as Prime Minister. The last week's chaos fueled by urgent legislation, ministerial resignations, and cabinet shuffles has further complicated his leadership, culminating in an upcoming vote that could determine his future.

When Sunak succeeded Liz Truss—who infamously held office for a mere seven weeks—he advised unity among his party members. However, the repeated necessity to stress this point indicates an ongoing struggle within the party.

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The Divisive Rwanda Bill and Tory Discord

The Safety Of Rwanda (Immigration and Asylum) Bill, designed to sidestep legal issues, has managed to irk various factions of the Tories. The One Nation Caucus is unsettled by the shift in power from courts to ministers, while right-wing MPs demand a bolder step away from the European Convention on Human Rights.

The party's internal tumult has become so palpable that an adviser remarked on the evident lack of discipline. The discontent spans across the Conservative spectrum, with the Rwanda policy cited as an uncomfortable compromise by a nation seeking a "moral compass."

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David Gauke, a former cabinet minister, noted that pleasing a diverse party while governing sensibly is a near-impossible feat, and it appears Sunak has yet to achieve either goal.

Historical Struggles Within the Conservative Party

The Conservative Party's success over the last 30 years has been overshadowed by the increased difficulty in leadership. Margaret Thatcher's prolonged tenure was not without its challenges, with divisions over Europe contributing to her fall.

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This same issue has plagued successors like John Major and David Cameron, with Theresa May's stint dominated by Brexit conflicts. The trend of internal dissent and rebellion has not spared Boris Johnson and Truss, contributing to their political demises too.

The role of the chief whip as an enforcer and advisor to the Prime Minister is critical. Past choices, marked by inefficiency or inexperience, have hindered the ability to maintain party cohesion and foresee parliamentary upsets. The chief whip's effectiveness is crucial for the PM's survival in office.

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Sunak's Leadership Under Siege

Recent parliamentary defeats, such as over the compensation for victims of the infected blood scandal, raise questions about Sunak's grip on his party. With the government's majority, such losses lay bare the inadequacies in strategy and legislative assurance.

Now, MPs are reluctant to face another leadership election after Sunak and Johnson's struggles. There's recognition that changing leaders again before the next election is not a viable path. This sets the stage for an all-or-nothing vote for Sunak, with MPs imploring an end to talks of no-confidence motions.

The echoes of the Taylor documentary, where an exasperated fan implored the manager to "resign," illustrate the gravitas of the challenges faced by leaders in high-stakes positions. With speculation about another leadership change, Sunak's situation ahead of the vote is dire—it's a loss he can't afford.

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